Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.713276 1.971417 2.255257 2.590528 2.975804 3.404787 3.918859
2025-06-01 1.333323 1.665922 2.062409 2.570003 3.202964 3.966832 4.959777
2025-06-08 1.058233 1.419647 1.881601 2.515623 3.364087 4.461835 5.992854
2025-06-15 0.926528 1.323834 1.864041 2.652680 3.776308 5.322691 7.618604
2025-06-22 0.796709 1.204551 1.790681 2.695112 4.058273 6.041262 9.155584
2025-06-29 0.677746 1.078574 1.684296 2.667148 4.226061 6.610806 10.552193
2025-07-06 0.562591 0.938307 1.532786 2.542841 4.221554 6.910648 11.567901
2025-07-13 0.515249 0.897550 1.528782 2.648092 4.590839 7.838821 13.713789
2025-07-20 0.478327 0.867729 1.536753 2.771327 5.002644 8.884939 16.198064
2025-07-27 0.440931 0.830929 1.526436 2.858835 5.360241 9.878642 18.720810
2025-08-03 0.401684 0.784657 1.492097 2.896112 5.628276 10.741246 21.113977
2025-08-10 0.352331 0.712064 1.399078 2.808977 5.647453 11.140421 22.671145
2025-08-17 0.301862 0.631721 1.283572 2.668055 5.554293 11.335109 23.903053
2025-08-24 0.271415 0.587617 1.233600 2.652287 5.712000 12.048970 26.304783
2025-08-31 0.241400 0.540054 1.170091 2.599204 5.784237 12.597717 28.440197
2025-09-07 0.231833 0.535427 1.196157 2.742686 6.301038 14.156209 33.016589
2025-09-14 0.215190 0.512471 1.179181 2.787653 6.604026 15.288004 36.794055
2025-09-21 0.195140 0.478684 1.133281 2.759349 6.733663 16.045551 39.806830
2025-09-28 0.170982 0.431579 1.050260 2.631077 6.607080 16.189873 41.359280
2025-10-05 0.163940 0.425528 1.063771 2.740197 7.076507 17.820570 46.849500
2025-10-12 0.158323 0.422261 1.083579 2.867857 7.610652 19.682010 53.206989
2025-10-19 0.151054 0.413644 1.088788 2.958496 8.061765 21.394373 59.426136
2025-10-26 0.141837 0.398491 1.075137 2.997120 8.379925 22.804612 65.036460